Friday, March 12, 2010

Will the Reds have...

...some OBP this season? On-base percentage is what makes modern offenses go, so let's have a look at some roster candidates for the Reds offense this season that Dustbag will have to choose from. Does this roster as constructed have the OBP skills necessary to get the job done?

Let's start with looking at last year's Team Statistics as a comparison point. Bill James' Pythagorean Formula theorizes if you score as many runs as you give up, you can expect to go .500 over the course of the long baseball season.

Here is how the Reds fared:

* In 2009, the Reds finished 11th out of 16 NL teams in runs scored, scoring 673 runs while giving up 723 runs.
* The Reds finished tied for 14th out of 16 teams in the NL last year in On-Base percentage (yikes!).

Here is the Reds Official Depth Chart

Catcher (2 or 3)
Ramon Hernandez
Ryan Hanigan
Wilkin Castillo

Infield (6 or 7)
Joey Votto
Brandon Phillips
Orlando Cabrera
Scott Rolen
Paul Janish
Drew Sutton
Chris Burke
Aaron Miles
Miguel Cairo

Outfield (5 or 6)
Jay Bruce
Drew Stubbs
Chris Dickerson
Jonny Gomes
Laynce Nix
Wladimir Balentien (worthless)
Chris Heisey
Todd Frazier
Josh Anderson (white Corey Patterson)

Potential Opening Day Lineup
1. Drew Stubbs 8 (should be batting lower in order)
2. Orlando Cabrera 6
3. Joey Votto 3
4. Brandon Phillips 4
5. Scott Rolen 5
6. Ramon Hernandez 2
7. Jay Bruce 9
8. Chris Dickerson 7
9. Aaron Harang P

Bench
Hanigan
A. Miles
J. Gomes
L. Nix
D. Sutton

Tomorrow: Reds Pitching preview