If the 2014 season started today, here would be the everyday lineup:
1. Hamilton CF
2. Phillips 2B (I guess)
3. Votto 1B
4. Ludwick LF
5. Bruce RF
6. Frazier 3B
7. Mesoraco C
8. Cozart SS
9. Cueto P
Need to hope for a few things:
- Hamilton exceeds expectations, although I am impressed w. his minor league numbers outside of last year
- Frazier mounts a complete turnaround from last year
- Mesoraco and Cozart are simply league average
Do we sign a veteran CF?
Do we move Homer one season before FA?
...some OBP this season? On-base percentage is what makes modern offenses go, so let's have a look at some roster candidates for the Reds offense this season that Dustbag will have to choose from. Does this roster as constructed have the OBP skills necessary to get the job done?
Let's start with looking at last year's Team Statistics as a comparison point. Bill James' Pythagorean Formula theorizes if you score as many runs as you give up, you can expect to go .500 over the course of the long baseball season.
Here is how the Reds fared:
* In 2009, the Reds finished 11th out of 16 NL teams in runs scored, scoring 673 runs while giving up 723 runs. * The Reds finished tied for 14th out of 16 teams in the NL last year in On-Base percentage (yikes!).
Well now, it does appear the Redlegs are starting to buy into the stated objective of this blog! PITCHING, power, on-base percentage...YAY.
* The Reds have signed Cuban import Aroldis Chapman to a five-year, $25M deal, payments spread over 10 years. It may work, it may not work...I just like that Castellini is finally TRYING.
Now that Pete Carroll has taken Head Coach job at Seattle Seahawks, who will replace him as coach at USC? The article mentions Mike Riley, Jack Del Rio, Jeff Fisher... What a great job coaching the Trojans.